The Toolbox
Building Mental Models for Better Decisions
You've probably heard of base rates, inversion, and second-order thinking. You might even be able to explain them. But when was the last time you actually used one to make a decision? The Toolbox is about the handful of mental models that genuinely change how you operate — not as cocktail party vocabulary, but as reflexes you reach for under pressure. Each chapter takes one tool, shows it working across medicine, business, poker, and everyday life, and gives you enough reps that it sticks. Short, sharp, and immediately useful.
